For most, Bitcoin remains an enigma. I think part of the difficulty in understanding Bitcoin is that it’s not just one thing. Bitcoin can be many things, depending on how you look at it. Depending on the prism you look at the world throug
Finance
Facebook is Dying, Libra Won’t Save It, and Wall Street is Clueless
I was the first person to call Mark Zuckerberg in 2004 and offer to buy the company (I was running Bolt at the time). In March, 2010, I published the first Wall Street style research report on Facebook on a Tumblr blog, with a $100 billion five year price target (it was actively trading in the private markets at […]
Bitcoin : The Worlds Best Store of Value, 2024 Price Target = $50,000
Target Price = $50,000 (assumes $1 Trillion valuation and 20,000,000 BTC, fully diluted) I’ve been around the block. In the 90s I was an equity analyst following media companies at Goldman Sachs. I loved it. But the internet came calling, and I jumped in. After my 2nd company, I became an angel investor and then a VC. […]
Why The Facebook Coin Could Be A Watershed Moment In Crypto
While I focus on crypto, I’ve written a lot about Facebook over the years. I was the original Facebook bull following the publication of the first Wall Street style research report on Facebook in March of 2010. In April of 2017, I started writing about “The Profound Implications of Five Increasingly Dominant Tech Companies” (Facebook, […]
Blackbullion Raises Another £400K To Be the Go To Financial Literacy Platform For Young Adults
“Tech for good” is a phrase that is not entirely common to hear but Blackbullion is a fintech education startup that fully embodies that notion. The educational platform, launched by a financial management expert, partners with leading UK universities like King’s College and the University of Edinburgh to teach young people about finance at crucial […]
The Reason That Bitcoin Popped and Uber Flopped
As of the writing of this post, Bitcoin is the top performing “asset class” of 2019 YTD, up 89% YTD. Bitcoin is up 22% in just the past week. And everyone wants to know why. The Markets Swing Between Bubbles And Crashes I have a word I use to describe the tendency of markets to become […]
Aspiring Startup Founders Could Benefit From a Grounding in Finance
For entrepreneurially minded millennials in finance, being a contributing part of this shifting culture could serve as excellent grounding for that dream of leading a successful startup.
Why Everyone Who Sees The Crypto Light Sees Something Different
I’ve written extensively about my experience seeing the crypto light, and why others struggle to see it. This post is about why, when people see the crypto light, everyone sees something different. The Blind Men & An Elephant The genesis of this post was the result of reading an interesting post by Casey Caruso “The five camps of crypto”. In […]
CryptoWinter Has Nothing On FAMGA Winter Market Cap Loss
Per CoinMarketCap, total crypto market capped peaked at $795.8 billion on January 7, 2018. Since that time, we’ve lost over $680 billion in market cap. We’re down over 85%. Crypto total market cap bottomed at $102 billion. So at the bottom, crypto had lost $692 billion. However, the total amount lost by FAMGA (my acronym […]
Due Diligence and the Fallacy of Risk-Adjusted Returns
A 2008 paper “How Unlucky is 25-Sigma”, describes an interview with Goldman Sach’s then-CFO David Viniar who referred to their flagship fund’s 27% loss in August 2007 as a “25 Sigma event”. The paper goes on to analyze this statement and quickly shows that a 25-Sigma event would take place once in 1.309e+135 years, a […]